Since the Fed’s rate cut at the end of October, the entire yield curve from the 3-month Treasury yield to the 30-year Treasury yield has risen. Mortgage rates have risen too. The Fed has cut by 150 ...

Inverted Yields, Negative Rates, and U.S. Treasury Probabilities 10 Years Forward ...

Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields are a few basis points higher early Tuesday, thought at around 4.183% they remain within ...

The 30-year Treasury yield finished on Thursday at its highest level since late September, after a drop in jobless claims pointed to a U.S. economy that might be stronger than expected. The yield on ...

Learn how understanding the bond yield curve's signals can inform economic forecasts and enhance your investment decisions ...

2026 brings a risk that premature interest rate cuts from a more dovish Federal Reserve could lead to a rise in longer-term Treasury yields (and mortgage rates). This phenomenon is called a “bear ...

Treasury securities trends are often a strong indicator of how investors think the Fed will steer the economy. And by that measure, the markets are expecting falling interest rates and decent growth.

Many expect market conditions to remain somewhat similar in 2026, but total returns could struggle to match 2025's ...